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@silence7@slrpnk.netM to Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.@slrpnk.netEnglish • 1 year ago

Scientists knew 2023’s heat would be historic — but not by this much

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Scientists knew 2023’s heat would be historic — but not by this much

wapo.st

@silence7@slrpnk.netM to Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.@slrpnk.netEnglish • 1 year ago
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When ominous warmth first appeared in Earth’s oceans last spring, scientists said it was a likely sign that record global heat was imminent — but not until 2024.

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  • @Gork@lemm.ee
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    14•1 year ago

    This past summer was brutal. Had to work outside for my job and had to take very frequent water breaks.

  • FiveMacs
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    3•1 year ago

    Should have bought a heat pump!

  • @lustyargonian@lemm.ee
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    3•
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    1 year ago

    Is it going to be an exponential growth trend?

    • @wick@lemm.ee
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      4•1 year ago

      Nah, it would have to cap out at like 400ish degrees imo

  • @arschfidel@discuss.tchncs.de
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    1•
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    1 year ago

    See? Scientists have no clue about climate either! So need to listen to them!!1!

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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:

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