Internationally, there is no consensus that this is World War III. Instead, leaders haggle over next moves, play footsie with Putin, and debate whether to fund Ukraine’s struggle as opposed to Israel’s, as though the same Evil wasn’t behind all conflicts. Hopefully, both wars will conclude, and global tectonic plates will shift. Russian and Iranian armed forces will shrink. Iran will turn over its enriched uranium. Russia will be battered, sanctioned, and isolated until the war ends. And once Moscow loses or quits, Putin will no longer be its leader, and Russia will split along ethnic lines into many smaller nation-states. Its nuclear arsenal will be secured and dismantled.

The United States and North America will be energy powerhouses. This will give them leverage over China, Asia, and Europe. Next month, China will sign a comprehensive trade, energy, and investment deal favorable to Trump. Europe will accept Ukraine as a member and either bridle or boot out Orban if he objects. The Middle East will take years to rebuild. It will also militarize, along with Europe, and become a ranking member of the Western Alliance that is needed to stop Putin’s global ambitions.

I think this is a useful perspective on current geopolitics, there is far too much segmenting of different events into silo’d contexts.