Again, I believe that this is the premier National Poll and that we are about to crown a national champion. This week’s poll will stay up at least through championship weekend as my expected reprieve is nowhere to be found.
Week 14 Results:
| Place | Team | Points | #1 Votes | Movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indiana | 73 | 2 | NR |
| 2 | Ohio State | 71 | 1 | NR |
| 3 | Texas A&M | 67 | 0 | NR |
| 4 | Georgia | 64 | 0 | NR |
| T5 | Ole Miss | 58 | 0 | NR |
| T5 | Alabama | 58 | 0 | NR |
| T7 | Texas Tech | 56 | 0 | NR |
| T7 | Oklahoma | 56 | 0 | NR |
| 9 | Oregon | 52 | 0 | NR |
| 10 | BYU | 51 | 0 | NR |
| 11 | Notre Dame | 36 | 0 | NR |
| T12 | Vanderbilt | 31 | 0 | NR |
| T12 | Miami (FL) | 31 | 0 | NR |
| 14 | Georgia Tech | 30 | 0 | NR |
| 15 | North Texas | 28 | 0 | NR |
| 16 | Texas | 25 | 0 | NR |
| 17 | Virginia | 23 | 0 | NR |
| 18 | Tulane | 21 | 0 | NR |
| T19 | USC | 20 | 0 | NR |
| T19 | South Florida | 20 | 0 | NR |
| 21 | James Madison | 18 | 0 | NR |
| T22 | Utah | 17 | 0 | NR |
| T22 | Michigan | 17 | 0 | NR |
| 24 | Tennessee | 14 | 0 | NR |
| 25 | Pittsburgh | 9 | 0 | NR |
Link to the Poll:https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSc8NFsNvzr51rjxe5WE_WRWbrhkAMrX6pWjex1dacaiplQSsQ/viewform?fbzx=39910275387990179
Updated my algorithm to not “punish teams for playing in a conference championship”: The championship winners get credit for winning, but losing those games doesn’t affect a team’s scoring…
Parentheses denote change in rank from the previous week:
- Indiana
- Texas Tech (+4)
- Ohio State (-1)
- Ole Miss (-1)
- Georgia (+2)
- Alabama (-1)
- Texas A&M (-3)
- Oklahoma
- BYU
- South Florida
- Tulane (+8)
- North Texas (-1)
- Oregon (-1)
- James Madison (-1)
- Texas (-1)
- THE Miami (of Florida) (-1)
- New Mexico (-1)
- Norte Dame (-1)
- Virginia (-1)
- Navy
- Louisville
- Vanderbilt
- Wake Forest
- Arizona State (+1)
- Georgia Tech (-1)
Other conference champions:
29 - Kennesaw State (+8)
36 - Boise State
37 - Duke (+21)
50 - Western Michigan (+5)
Full rankings:
Losers of championship games having “pseudo-records”
1 Indiana - 13-0 - 183.88 2 Texas Tech - 12-1 - 169.28 3 Ohio State - 12-0 - 167.08 4 Ole Miss - 11-1 - 166.83 5 Georgia - 12-1 - 165.8 6 Alabama - 10-2 - 165.2 7 Texas A&M - 11-1 - 164.99 8 Oklahoma - 10-2 - 160.16 9 BYU - 11-1 - 158.2 10 South Florida - 9-3 - 155.11 11 Tulane - 11-2 - 153.66 12 North Texas - 11-1 - 153.43 13 Oregon - 11-1 - 150.12 14 James Madison - 12-1 - 149.33 15 Texas - 9-3 - 147.53 16 Miami (FL) - 10-2 - 147.34 17 New Mexico - 9-3 - 147.16 18 Notre Dame - 10-2 - 146.32 19 Virginia - 10-2 - 145.8 20 Navy - 9-2 - 142.93 21 Louisville - 8-4 - 140.24 22 Vanderbilt - 10-2 - 139.63 23 Wake Forest - 8-4 - 139.33 24 Arizona State - 8-4 - 138.46 25 Georgia Tech - 9-3 - 137.8 26 Arizona - 9-3 - 137.36 27 Houston - 9-3 - 137.36 28 Utah - 10-2 - 137.22 29 Kennesaw State - 10-3 - 136.31 30 UNLV - 10-2 - 136.28 31 San Diego State - 9-3 - 135.74 32 Michigan - 9-3 - 135.61 33 USC - 9-3 - 133.33 34 Pittsburgh - 8-4 - 133.2 35 TCU - 8-4 - 133.2 36 Boise State - 9-4 - 132.28 37 Duke - 8-5 - 131.14 38 SMU - 8-4 - 130.56 39 Fresno State - 8-4 - 129.51 40 Memphis - 8-4 - 127.93 41 Iowa State - 8-4 - 127.62 42 Old Dominion - 9-3 - 126.41 43 Illinois - 8-4 - 126.05 44 UConn - 9-3 - 125.81 45 Jacksonville State - 8-4 - 125.1 46 Hawaiʻi - 8-4 - 124.43 47 NC State - 7-5 - 123.17 48 California - 7-5 - 120.8 49 Clemson - 7-5 - 120.8 50 Western Michigan - 9-4 - 120.7 51 Toledo - 8-4 - 119.28 52 Western Kentucky - 8-4 - 118.98 53 Troy - 8-4 - 118.9 54 Iowa - 8-4 - 118.62 55 East Carolina - 8-4 - 118.43 56 Washington - 8-4 - 118.33 57 FIU - 7-5 - 117.12 58 UTSA - 6-6 - 116.11 59 Ohio - 8-4 - 112.33 60 LSU - 7-5 - 112.16 61 Miami (OH) - 7-5 - 111.33 62 Utah State - 6-6 - 110.74 63 Southern Miss - 7-5 - 110.44 64 Cincinnati - 7-5 - 110.43 65 Louisiana Tech - 7-5 - 109.87 66 Arkansas State - 6-6 - 109.12 67 Nebraska - 7-5 - 108.6 68 Washington State - 6-6 - 108.43 69 Florida State - 5-7 - 108.09 70 Delaware - 6-6 - 106.93 71 Tennessee - 8-4 - 105.96 72 Missouri - 8-4 - 105.73 73 Missouri State - 7-5 - 105.1 74 Minnesota - 7-5 - 103.75 75 Kansas State - 6-6 - 103.58 76 Army - 6-5 - 103.07 77 Texas State - 6-6 - 102.9 78 Georgia Southern - 6-6 - 102.44 79 Baylor - 5-7 - 102.21 80 West Virginia - 4-8 - 100.2 81 Marshall - 5-7 - 98.33 82 Louisiana - 6-6 - 98.04 83 Rice - 5-7 - 97.78 84 Penn State - 6-6 - 97.1 85 Northwestern - 6-6 - 95.91 86 Central Michigan - 7-5 - 95.46 87 Mississippi State - 5-7 - 95.45 88 Kansas - 5-7 - 93.82 89 UCF - 5-7 - 93.44 90 Florida - 4-8 - 93.14 91 Kentucky - 5-7 - 92.41 92 Rutgers - 5-7 - 91.44 93 Coastal Carolina - 6-6 - 87.72 94 Michigan State - 4-8 - 86.33 95 San Jose State - 3-9 - 85.61 96 UAB - 4-8 - 85.43 97 Wisconsin - 4-8 - 85.33 98 Akron - 5-7 - 84.9 99 Bowling Green - 4-8 - 84.41 100 Temple - 5-7 - 83.67 101 Ball State - 4-8 - 83.44 102 Auburn - 5-7 - 82.14 103 Syracuse - 3-9 - 81.93 104 Tulsa - 4-8 - 81.75 105 Stanford - 4-8 - 80.1 106 Virginia Tech - 3-9 - 80.07 107 Kent State - 5-7 - 79.85 108 South Alabama - 4-8 - 79 109 Buffalo - 5-7 - 78.46 110 Colorado - 3-9 - 77.43 111 Appalachian State - 5-7 - 76.67 112 Liberty - 4-8 - 74.67 113 Florida Atlantic - 4-8 - 74.02 114 Eastern Michigan - 4-8 - 72.73 115 Wyoming - 4-8 - 71.85 116 South Carolina - 4-8 - 71.58 117 Colorado State - 2-10 - 68.82 118 ULM - 3-9 - 66.77 119 Maryland - 4-8 - 66.73 120 UCLA - 3-9 - 64.78 121 Air Force - 4-8 - 63.17 122 North Carolina - 4-8 - 63.17 123 New Mexico State - 4-8 - 61.9 124 Arkansas - 2-10 - 57.77 125 Oregon State - 2-10 - 57.67 126 Sam Houston - 2-10 - 57.67 127 Nevada - 3-9 - 56.33 128 Middle Tennessee - 3-9 - 54.52 129 Northern Illinois - 3-9 - 54.33 130 1-AA Team - 4-122 - 48.75 131 Purdue - 2-10 - 45.33 132 Boston College - 2-10 - 44.75 133 UTEP - 2-10 - 34.65 134 Charlotte - 1-11 - 8 135 Georgia State - 1-11 - 8 136 Oklahoma State - 1-11 - 8 137 UMass - 0-12 - 0Who would have guessed 2 years ago that Indiana would go on to be the empirically best team after championship week in just 2 years time?
Algorithm is a combination of team record and their “best win”. No MoV, human influence, or previous season influence.
I was thinking about doing that for my algorithm. But at the same time, if you get absolutely embarrassed in your CCG (cough Bama & BYU cough), maybe your rating should drop at least a bit…
Hopefully I have time to sit down and count out the rivalry week pick 'em tonight. But either way we all know the championship weekend lineups, so start picking your picks in your head!
Here are my rankings for this week. I will hold off submitting a poll until the Championship games have been played.
No real surprises here. OSU retakes the top spot, Texas A&M drops, putting them on the bubble. Pitt, SMU, and ASU drop out of the Top 25, being replaced by Navy, USF, and Iowa. ND persists at #4.
If you used this to CFP seeding, the Top 10 all make it in, with North Texas and JMU over any ACC team.
- Ohio State
- Indiana
- Texas Tech
- Notre Dame
- Oregon
- Georgia
- Oklahoma
- Utah
- Ole Miss
- Vanderbilt
- BYU
- Texas A&M
- Alabama
- Arizona
- North Texas
- Texas
- James Madison
- Miami
- USC
- Tulane
- Virginia
- Navy
- Michigan
- South Florida
- Iowa
Full Rankings
Rank Team Record Rating SOS 1 Ohio State (12-0) 1482 997 2 Indiana (12-0) 1473 988 3 Texas Tech (11-1) 1459 957 4 Notre Dame (10-2) 1444 1038 5 Oregon (11-1) 1440 999 6 Georgia (11-1) 1426 1001 7 Oklahoma (10-2) 1387 1070 8 Utah (10-2) 1378 979 9 Ole Miss (11-1) 1372 993 10 Vanderbilt (10-2) 1364 988 11 BYU (11-1) 1362 1057 12 Texas A&M (11-1) 1356 1014 13 Alabama (10-2) 1353 1040 14 Arizona (9-3) 1318 978 15 North Texas (11-1) 1313 924 16 Texas (9-3) 1308 1058 17 James Madison (11-1) 1301 866 18 Miami (10-2) 1300 988 19 USC (9-3) 1268 1075 20 Tulane (10-2) 1254 989 21 Virginia (10-2) 1244 935 22 Navy (9-2) 1232 970 23 Michigan (9-3) 1226 1073 24 South Florida (9-3) 1225 968 25 Iowa (8-4) 1224 1012 26 New Mexico (9-3) 1184 885 27 Missouri (8-4) 1176 993 28 Washington (8-4) 1173 970 29 UNLV (10-2) 1173 860 30 Clemson (7-5) 1170 936 31 UConn (9-3) 1166 827 32 East Carolina (8-4) 1165 944 33 TCU (8-4) 1163 1001 34 Old Dominion (9-3) 1163 873 35 SMU (8-4) 1159 963 36 Pittsburgh (8-4) 1156 964 37 Arizona State (8-4) 1154 1051 38 Tennessee (8-4) 1154 993 39 Iowa State (8-4) 1149 1010 40 Duke (7-5) 1142 1023 41 LSU (7-5) 1138 1098 42 Houston (9-3) 1137 946 43 Illinois (8-4) 1132 1041 44 Toledo (8-4) 1132 846 45 Wake Forest (8-4) 1125 946 46 Penn State (6-6) 1120 1051 47 Kennesaw State (9-3) 1118 909 48 Georgia Tech (9-3) 1114 963 49 Western Michigan (8-4) 1109 874 50 San Diego State (9-3) 1106 869 51 Boise State (8-4) 1095 974 52 NC State (7-5) 1083 1054 53 Kansas State (6-6) 1072 1018 54 Louisville (8-4) 1071 1004 55 Minnesota (7-5) 1068 992 56 Florida International (7-5) 1062 894 57 Jacksonville State (8-4) 1059 838 58 Memphis (8-4) 1056 929 59 California (7-5) 1051 938 60 Hawai’i (8-4) 1050 881 61 Fresno State (8-4) 1048 839 62 Army (6-5) 1045 938 63 Cincinnati (7-5) 1043 997 64 Nebraska (7-5) 1027 978 65 Troy (8-4) 1023 866 66 Ohio (8-4) 1019 829 67 Northwestern (6-6) 1016 1015 68 Miami (OH) (7-5) 1006 879 69 Washington State (6-6) 1005 1000 70 Florida (4-8) 1002 1120 71 UTSA (6-6) 997 980 72 Louisiana (6-6) 987 889 73 South Carolina (4-8) 986 1115 74 Louisiana Tech (7-5) 986 842 75 Auburn (5-7) 985 1059 76 Western Kentucky (8-4) 982 877 77 Wisconsin (4-8) 972 1179 78 Utah State (6-6) 967 975 79 Arkansas State (6-6) 960 880 80 Texas State (6-6) 959 900 81 Georgia Southern (6-6) 958 931 82 Kentucky (5-7) 948 1086 83 Mississippi State (5-7) 948 1063 84 Central Michigan (7-5) 948 839 85 Baylor (5-7) 944 1036 86 UCF (5-7) 935 988 87 West Virginia (4-8) 930 1076 88 Rutgers (5-7) 928 1050 89 Missouri State (7-5) 928 891 90 Kansas (5-7) 922 1049 91 Stanford (4-8) 916 1081 92 Temple (5-7) 902 982 93 Air Force (4-8) 899 951 94 Southern Miss (7-5) 897 877 95 Michigan State (4-8) 882 1032 96 UCLA (3-9) 878 1164 97 Florida Atlantic (4-8) 878 992 98 Coastal Carolina (6-6) 874 905 99 Delaware (6-6) 872 869 100 Rice (5-7) 870 989 101 Florida State (5-7) 868 1036 102 Kent State (5-7) 844 855 103 UAB (4-8) 843 999 104 Virginia Tech (3-9) 842 1064 105 North Carolina (4-8) 842 963 106 Eastern Michigan (4-8) 838 851 107 Tulsa (4-8) 836 904 108 Colorado (3-9) 824 1117 109 Arkansas (2-10) 820 1108 110 South Alabama (4-8) 820 907 111 Akron (5-7) 818 793 112 Nevada (3-9) 800 944 113 App State (5-7) 799 863 114 Boston College (2-10) 795 1019 115 Marshall (5-7) 795 932 116 Maryland (4-8) 791 972 117 Middle Tennessee (3-9) 785 862 118 Liberty (4-8) 783 910 119 Wyoming (4-8) 758 904 120 Buffalo (5-7) 745 852 121 Purdue (2-10) 742 1111 122 New Mexico State (4-8) 725 868 123 Ball State (4-8) 719 896 124 San José State (3-9) 706 949 125 Syracuse (3-9) 695 1070 126 Northern Illinois (3-9) 693 860 127 Bowling Green (4-8) 683 838 128 Oklahoma State (1-11) 682 1055 129 Oregon State (2-10) 668 995 130 Colorado State (2-10) 641 991 131 Charlotte (1-11) 636 1020 132 Sam Houston (2-10) 636 941 133 UL Monroe (3-9) 627 923 134 UTEP (2-10) 625 867 135 Georgia State (1-11) 604 994 136 Massachusetts (0-12) 411 880 And here’s the poll after championship weekend. It’s pretty harsh on the losers, even Ohio State, who only lost by 3 to an equal opponent… And Notre Dame sits there at #4.
Fun fact: If you run my algo in reverse chronological order, ND ends up at #15. It was kind of by design for more recent games to matter more, but I didn’t expect THAT much difference. I might play with ways to reduce that effect in the future.
- Indiana
- Texas Tech
- Georgia
- Notre Dame
- Oregon
- Ohio State
- Oklahoma
- Utah
- Ole Miss
- Vanderbilt
- Texas A&M
- Tulane
- James Madison
- Arizona
- Texas
- BYU
- Miami
- Alabama
- USC
- North Texas
- Navy
- Michigan
- South Florida
- Iowa
- Duke
Full Rankings
Rank Team Record Rating SOS 1 Indiana (13-0) 1533 1025 2 Texas Tech (12-1) 1516 979 3 Georgia (12-1) 1488 1019 4 Notre Dame (10-2) 1444 1044 5 Oregon (11-1) 1440 1004 6 Ohio State (12-1) 1422 1038 7 Oklahoma (10-2) 1387 1065 8 Utah (10-2) 1378 979 9 Ole Miss (11-1) 1372 1004 10 Vanderbilt (10-2) 1364 983 11 Texas A&M (11-1) 1356 1014 12 Tulane (11-2) 1323 1014 13 James Madison (12-1) 1319 877 14 Arizona (9-3) 1318 974 15 Texas (9-3) 1308 1058 16 BYU (11-2) 1305 1096 17 Miami (10-2) 1300 988 18 Alabama (10-3) 1291 1079 19 USC (9-3) 1267 1074 20 North Texas (11-2) 1243 958 21 Navy (9-2) 1232 963 22 Michigan (9-3) 1225 1067 23 South Florida (9-3) 1225 969 24 Iowa (8-4) 1223 1016 25 Duke (8-5) 1218 1034 26 New Mexico (9-3) 1184 884 27 Missouri (8-4) 1176 988 28 Washington (8-4) 1172 964 29 Clemson (7-5) 1170 941 30 Virginia (10-3) 1168 963 31 Boise State (9-4) 1167 978 32 Kennesaw State (10-3) 1166 918 33 UConn (9-3) 1166 833 34 East Carolina (8-4) 1165 945 35 TCU (8-4) 1163 997 36 Old Dominion (9-3) 1162 878 37 SMU (8-4) 1159 963 38 Pittsburgh (8-4) 1156 964 39 Arizona State (8-4) 1154 1056 40 Tennessee (8-4) 1154 993 41 Western Michigan (9-4) 1150 872 42 Iowa State (8-4) 1149 1006 43 LSU (7-5) 1138 1093 44 Houston (9-3) 1137 950 45 Illinois (8-4) 1132 1051 46 Toledo (8-4) 1131 846 47 Wake Forest (8-4) 1125 950 48 Penn State (6-6) 1120 1050 49 Georgia Tech (9-3) 1114 975 50 San Diego State (9-3) 1106 875 51 UNLV (10-3) 1101 885 52 NC State (7-5) 1083 1054 53 Kansas State (6-6) 1072 1023 54 Louisville (8-4) 1071 999 55 Minnesota (7-5) 1067 987 56 Florida International (7-5) 1062 894 57 Memphis (8-4) 1056 933 58 California (7-5) 1051 938 59 Hawai’i (8-4) 1050 875 60 Fresno State (8-4) 1048 845 61 Army (6-5) 1045 938 62 Cincinnati (7-5) 1043 992 63 Nebraska (7-5) 1026 977 64 Ohio (8-4) 1018 823 65 Northwestern (6-6) 1015 1020 66 Jacksonville State (8-5) 1011 867 67 Washington State (6-6) 1005 989 68 Troy (8-5) 1005 900 69 Florida (4-8) 1002 1125 70 UTSA (6-6) 997 980 71 South Carolina (4-8) 986 1110 72 Louisiana (6-6) 986 889 73 Auburn (5-7) 985 1059 74 Louisiana Tech (7-5) 985 846 75 Western Kentucky (8-4) 982 873 76 Wisconsin (4-8) 972 1170 77 Utah State (6-6) 967 975 78 Miami (OH) (7-6) 963 897 79 Arkansas State (6-6) 960 882 80 Texas State (6-6) 959 900 81 Georgia Southern (6-6) 958 928 82 Kentucky (5-7) 948 1092 83 Mississippi State (5-7) 948 1068 84 Central Michigan (7-5) 948 842 85 Baylor (5-7) 944 1036 86 UCF (5-7) 935 984 87 West Virginia (4-8) 930 1076 88 Missouri State (7-5) 928 894 89 Rutgers (5-7) 927 1041 90 Kansas (5-7) 922 1054 91 Stanford (4-8) 916 1070 92 Temple (5-7) 902 982 93 Air Force (4-8) 899 951 94 Southern Miss (7-5) 896 872 95 Michigan State (4-8) 881 1039 96 Florida Atlantic (4-8) 878 997 97 UCLA (3-9) 877 1157 98 Coastal Carolina (6-6) 874 900 99 Delaware (6-6) 872 865 100 Rice (5-7) 870 983 101 Florida State (5-7) 868 1025 102 Kent State (5-7) 844 860 103 UAB (4-8) 843 994 104 Virginia Tech (3-9) 842 1058 105 North Carolina (4-8) 842 963 106 Eastern Michigan (4-8) 837 851 107 Tulsa (4-8) 836 910 108 Colorado (3-9) 824 1112 109 Arkansas (2-10) 820 1108 110 South Alabama (4-8) 820 905 111 Akron (5-7) 817 789 112 Nevada (3-9) 800 944 113 App State (5-7) 799 870 114 Boston College (2-10) 795 1019 115 Marshall (5-7) 795 938 116 Maryland (4-8) 790 976 117 Middle Tennessee (3-9) 784 862 118 Liberty (4-8) 783 911 119 Wyoming (4-8) 758 897 120 Buffalo (5-7) 745 846 121 Purdue (2-10) 741 1110 122 New Mexico State (4-8) 725 872 123 Ball State (4-8) 718 895 124 San José State (3-9) 705 949 125 Syracuse (3-9) 695 1076 126 Northern Illinois (3-9) 692 860 127 Oklahoma State (1-11) 682 1059 128 Bowling Green (4-8) 682 837 129 Oregon State (2-10) 668 1000 130 Colorado State (2-10) 641 991 131 Charlotte (1-11) 636 1025 132 Sam Houston (2-10) 636 931 133 UL Monroe (3-9) 627 916 134 UTEP (2-10) 625 867 135 Georgia State (1-11) 604 994 136 Massachusetts (0-12) 410 883



